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Foreclosures down in January, but surge on way?

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    Foreclosures down in January, but surge on way?

    Feb. 11, 2010

    The number of U.S. households facing foreclosure in January increased 15 percent from the same month last year, and a surge in cash-strapped homeowners who've fallen behind on mortgages could be on the way.

    More than 315,000 households received a foreclosure-related notice in January, RealtyTrac Inc. reported Thursday. That number is down nearly 10 percent from 349,000 in December, which saw the third highest total since the company began tracking foreclosure data in 2005.

    In January, one in 409 homes were sent a filing, which includes default notices, scheduled foreclosure auctions and bank repossessions. Banks repossessed more than 87,000 homes last month, down 5 percent from December but still up 31 percent from January 2009.

    January marked the 11th straight month with more than 300,000 properties receiving a foreclosure filing. The numbers could stay above that level as unemployed homeowners who have tried to keep up with their mortgages finally start missing monthly payments.

    Mortgage financier Fannie Mae reported in late January that the rate of borrowers who have a conventional loan on a house and are seriously delinquent was 5.29 percent in November, more than doubling the rate of 2.13 percent in November 2008. Borrowers are considered seriously delinquent if they are past due by three months or more, or are in foreclosure.

    "There's a lot of foreclosures in the pipeline, and the number is going to continue to get bigger," said Patrick Newport, an economist with IHS Global Insight.

    Last month's foreclosure activity followed a pattern similar to that of a year ago, when a double-digit percentage increase in December was followed by a 10 percent drop in January.

    The dip in January's numbers may be due to processing delays by lenders during the end-of-year holidays, said Rick Sharga, senior vice president of RealtyTrac, which is based in Irvine, Calif.

    "I don't think it's an early sign of the coming of the end of the foreclosure crisis," Sharga said.

    A record 2.8 million households were threatened with foreclosure last year, and the numbers are expected to rise to between 3 and 3.5 million homes this year, RealtyTrac said.

    Slowing the foreclosure rate is a key step in the recovery of the real estate market and the overall economy. The foreclosure crisis forced the federal government and several states to come up with plans to prevent or delay the process to help delinquent borrowers.

    Foreclosed homes are usually sold at steep discounts, so they often lower the value of surrounding properties. Cities lose property tax dollars from foreclosure homes that sit empty and from declining home values, straining local economies. Home prices have stabilized in some cities, but are still down 30 percent nationally from mid-2006.

    Economic issues, such as unemployment or reduced income, are expected to be the main catalysts for foreclosures this year. Initially, subprime mortgages were mostly the culprit, but homeowners with good credit who took out conventional, fixed-rate loans are the fastest growing group of foreclosures.

    Among states, Nevada posted the nation's highest foreclosure rate, followed by Arizona, California, Florida and Utah. Rounding out the top 10 were Idaho, Michigan, Illinois, Oregon and Georgia.

    The metro area with the highest foreclosure rate in January was Las Vegas, with one in every 82 homes receiving a foreclosure filing. It was followed by Phoenix and the California cities of Modesto, Stockton, and Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario.

    Filed Chapter 7 July 2010
    Attended 341 September 2010
    Discharged November 2010 Closed November 2010

    #2
    A surge has already started in my area. Foreclosures had slowed down in November/December of 2009, but they're back in full force.

    You've got a lot of factors that are going to be pushing more and more into foreclosure.

    This party's just getting started........
    All information contained in this post is for informational and amusement purposes only.
    Bankruptcy is a process, not an event.......

    Comment


      #3
      Agree, this is a bit of calm before the storm.

      The reality is so much worse than any official numbers. I will be interested to see what sorts of responses come from the government and from lenders as the situation continues.
      11-20-09-- Filed Chapter 7
      12-23-09-- 341 Meeting-Early Christmas Gift?
      3-9-10--Discharged

      Comment


        #4
        I know of 2 friends that are expecting foreclosures. One hasn't made a payment in almost 3 years and they haven't even filed a lis pendens!

        My other friend stopped paying 2 years ago, and his town home has been vacant almost the entire time. The bank recently canceled the foreclosure.

        In my own situation, the bank has been very slow to foreclose, but the HOA is beating them to it.

        I don't personally know anyone else, but this is what I can see. This isn't the eye of the storm, its just the first edge!
        Once you lose everything you're free to do anything.
        Filed 10/06/2009
        341 11/12/2009
        Discharged 1/15/2010

        Comment


          #5
          I know a few people emerging from the pre-foreclosure pipeline. My NOD is awaiting me at the post office.
          *Filed: September 23, 2009 *341: November 4, 2009 *Discharged: January 4, 2010 *Closed: January 20, 2010

          Hakuna Matata...it means NO WORRIES!

          Comment


            #6
            Originally posted by HakunaMatata View Post
            I know a few people emerging from the pre-foreclosure pipeline. My NOD is awaiting me at the post office.
            You need to rush on up there and pick it up.....
            All information contained in this post is for informational and amusement purposes only.
            Bankruptcy is a process, not an event.......

            Comment


              #7
              Originally posted by frogger View Post
              You need to rush on up there and pick it up.....
              I'll head out as soon as you shovel my snow, clear the ice, and warm up my cold car. Far too many exciting events lately!
              *Filed: September 23, 2009 *341: November 4, 2009 *Discharged: January 4, 2010 *Closed: January 20, 2010

              Hakuna Matata...it means NO WORRIES!

              Comment


                #8
                I check realtytrac weekly for my neighborhood. There are several addresses that have been in the auction section, where the auction date keeps moving to the right. This i believe is the shadow inventory. Neighbor across the street told my wife the other day hes walking, and he's not even late, just tired of trying to work with the bank for a modification in an underwater house. his neighbor next door is in forclosure, and the house next to that walked on new years day. I went through the 90's downturn, and it was bad, but I have never experienced anything of this magnitude.
                Stopped Paying CC's 2/2009. Retained Attorney 1/10/2010 Filed 1/23/2010. Discharged 5/19/10 $187K CC, $240K 2nd,$417K 1st, No asset Ch-7

                Comment


                  #9
                  There was a story on NPR I heard last night on my way home from work. They said that the decline in the foreclosure rate has a lot to do with the fact that banks simply aren't foreclosing so much anymore. They don't want a devalued house on their books. In other words, the foreclosure rate and the default rate are now somewhat divorced.
                  Pay no attention to anything I post. I graduated last in my class from a fly-by-night law school that no longer exists; I never studied or went to class; and I only post on internet forums when I'm too drunk to crawl away from the computer.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    There are numerous properties in our area that either have For Sale or Rent signs on them, and there are plenty of others that just plain look abandoned.
                    "To go bravely forward is to invite a miracle."

                    "Worry is the darkroom where negatives are formed."

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Same here. Down here, the Enron years featured a boom of expensively tricked up townhouses that were essentially throw-up housing not built with quality in mind, and the sheep bit hook line and sinker. Today they think they will recoup...when they don't, they default. We have a ton of properties with "for sale or rent" signs on them that are sitting empty. People who have not defaulted are dreaming in their asking price, and those that foreclosed are finding that the foreclosure price is not worth what the property really is. I looked into one last summer, appraised originally upwards of 275K, selling for 149K. Then I got the report...and a granite/stainless kitchen and jacuzzi tub do not make up for it being an engineering nightmare...water intrusion painted over, roof damage (with a rooftop patio, no less), warped floors, shifted foundation to the point that doors won't close, electrical not remotely done to code. The guy even tried talking it all up, until he asked me what I do for a living (let's just say I know engineering intimately.) I think he pawned it off on someone else as it is off the market.

                      This is another false alarm by the same government who says unemployment is going down (during the temp holiday season). I don't think we have hit the bottom of the financial ditch yet because no one is looking at the big picture.
                      First consult: You go now, no CH 7 for you. You spent entire buffet. 13 has a 95 percent payback. (Owwwch) On to next consult....

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Not even near the middle of that storm. 2010 ought to be interesting to see how the banks and the government spin all this.

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Originally posted by bulletproof77 View Post
                          Not even near the middle of that storm. 2010 ought to be interesting to see how the banks and the government spin all this.
                          It's a critical election year. Obama and his admirers in the media will try to make everything look rosy.
                          Well, I did. Every one of 'em. Mostly I remember the last one. The wild finish. A guy standing on a station platform in the rain with a comical look in his face because his insides have been kicked out. -Rick

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Originally posted by OhioFiler View Post
                            It's a critical election year. Obama and his admirers in the media will try to make everything look rosy.
                            I don't think they will. They'll try to minimize things, for sure, and blame everything that is wrong on previous administrations; say that there's a light at the end of the tunnel &c. But to paint things as rosy would alienate even the most ardent Obama supporter. They'll acknowledge that things are bad, but argue that we're on the right track and should continue . . . 'stay the course' as it were.
                            Pay no attention to anything I post. I graduated last in my class from a fly-by-night law school that no longer exists; I never studied or went to class; and I only post on internet forums when I'm too drunk to crawl away from the computer.

                            Comment

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